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Quel est le point commun entre l'invention de la roue, Pompéi, le krach boursier de 1987, Harry Potter et Internet ?

Pourquoi ne devrait-on jamais lire un journal ni courir pour attraper un train ?

Que peuvent nous apprendre les amants de Catherine de Russie sur les probabilités ?

Pourquoi les prévisionnistes sont-ils pratiquement tous des arnaqueurs ?

Ce livre révèle tout des Cygnes Noirs, ces événements aléatoires, hautement improbables, qui jalonnent notre vie : ils ont un impact énorme, sont presque impossibles à prévoir, et pourtant, a posteriori, nous essayons toujours de leur trouver une explication rationnelle.

Dans cet ouvrage éclairant, plein d'esprit d'impertinence et bien souvent prophétique, Taleb nous exhorte à ne pas tenir compte des propos de certains « experts », et nous montre comment cesser de tout prévoir ou comment tirer parti de l'incertitude.

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  • We started tracking this book on June 25, 2022.
  • This book was £14.53 when we started tracking it.
  • The price of this book has changed 16 times in the past 156 days.
  • The current price of this book is £15.95 last checked 4 hours ago.
  • This book is at its lowest price in the past 90 days.
  • The lowest price to date was £14.53 last reached on August 12, 2022.
  • This book has been £14.53 2 times since we started tracking it.
  • The highest price to date was £17.50 last reached on September 25, 2022.
  • This book has been £17.50 one time since we started tracking it.

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Additional Info

  • Text-to-Speech: Enabled
  • Lending: Disabled
  • Print Length: 608 Pages
  • File Size: 2,038 KB

We last verified the price of this book about 4 hours ago. At that time, the price was £15.95. This price is subject to change. The price displayed on the Amazon.co.uk website at the time of purchase is the price you will pay for this book. Please confirm the price before making any purchases.